FISHERSVILLE,
Va. -- The presidential race enters its final month enlivened by two
events with the potential to reshape the contest or perhaps negate each
other. Soon after Mitt Romney's strong debate performance came Friday's
encouraging economic news, not a minute too soon for President Barack
Obama.
Strategists
say the race is tightening, which was largely expected even before
Obama's flat appearance on the debate stage Wednesday night, when his
Republican challenger had arguably the best 90 minutes of his candidacy
thus far.
Republican
volunteers and strategists in the nine most competitive states are
encouraged as never before, saying Romney is squarely back in a contest
that was threatening to slip away.
Thirty-six
hours later after the candidates' first face-to-face meeting, however,
Obama crossed a huge psychological barrier. The government reported that
unemployment fell to 7.8 percent in September, down from 8.1 percent.
It was the first time since the opening days of Obama's presidency in
2009 that the rate dipped below 8 percent.
Now,
with one month left until the Nov. 6 election and millions of people
already voting, the question is whether Romney can spin his 90 minutes
of debate gold into a path toward a four-year presidency.
The
trick for Romney is to translate an often wonky, hard-to-follow debate,
viewed by an estimated 67.2 million people, into the type of
on-the-ground actions and momentum that eluded him during summertime
stumbles over the London Olympics, Libya and the 47 percent of Americans
who don't owe federal income taxes.
Strategists
in both parties say Romney is likely to gain in polls. But many
question whether he can close the gaps that Obama seems to have opened
in Ohio and elsewhere.
Presidential
debates "are not as important as they used to be," largely because
voters have so many other sources of information and opinion, said Paul
Shumaker, a Republican strategist in North Carolina, one of the most
contested states. "Romney performed beyond expectations," Shumaker said,
but it may be hard to sustain the lift.
"The problem going into the next debate" on Oct. 16, he said, is that Romney "has raised the bar very high for himself."
Will Weatherford, a Republican who soon will be speaker of the Florida House, was more optimistic after the Denver debate.
"My initial reaction is, it's a game-changer," Weatherford said. "The mystique of President Obama is gone."
Former
Colorado Republican Party Chairman Dick Wadhams said the first of this
year's three debates may have saved Romney's campaign.
"Before
the debate, he was very close to losing this election," Wadhams said. A
sliver of undecided voters wants to oppose Obama, he said, but until
Wednesday, Romney had not closed the deal. "I think he's back in the
game," Wadhams said.
Obama
seized onto Friday's jobs report like a tired swimmer grabbing a raft,
using it to deflect chatter about his disappointing debate performance.
"We are moving forward again," he told a Virginia crowd.
Romney
said 7.8 percent unemployment "is not what a real recovery looks like."
Obama accused him of trying "to try to talk down the economy to score a
few political points."
The
Republican used the debate afterglow to take a second stab at softening
the damage done from secretly recorded remarks in which he said 47
percent of Americans consider themselves victims dependent on government
aid.
"I
said something that's just completely wrong," Romney told Fox News. "I
care about 100 percent, and that's been demonstrated throughout my
life."
If nothing else, Romney's solid debate performance netted him more time to make his case to undecided voters.
"Hope was restored in 90 minutes," said Steve Schmidt, campaign manager for 2008 GOP nominee John McCain.
Many
activists wish it had come sooner. Obama's experienced voter-turnout
operation already is marching supporters by the thousands to early
polling sites in Iowa, North Carolina and Ohio, the most fiercely
contested state of all.
If
the election were today, Obama probably would carry Ohio, making
Romney's path to the 270 needed electoral votes extremely narrow. Public
and internal polls show Obama ahead by 5 to 8 percentage points.
Romney's
campaign on Friday began airing an ad, "Ohio Jobs," in which Romney
speaks directly to the camera. Democrats hope Friday's jobs report will
make the ad sound off-message to many Ohioans.
In
Virginia, a traditionally Republican state until Obama won it four
years ago, the race is tighter, although the president is seen with the
advantage. After the debate, Romney went straight to Virginia, where he
and running mate Paul Ryan headlined a rally in the state's conservative
west.
There was anecdotal evidence in some states that Romney's debate job was bringing in new donations and volunteers.
"I've
been in Daytona, Flagler County and St. John's County, and all over,
people are asking for signs, asking for bumper stickers, some of them
are even asking where they can send money," said Florida state Sen. John
Thrasher, a former state GOP chairman. "The energy level is fantastic."
In Nevada, where Romney has not led in any publicly released poll, new volunteers showed up at GOP offices.
Gustavo Guadamud, 31, had planned to vote for Romney, but after watching the debate he decided it was time to do more.
"A
lot of people thought that he doesn't have what it takes," Guadamud
said. "But every time President Obama was replying, he looked him right
in the eye."
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